Investment banker and researcher Jeff Hook went on the Rational Reminder Podcast and offered one of the bluntest assessments of private equity any practitioner has put on tape this year. “If [fiduciary obligation] was enforced like it should be enforced, there would be very little private equity and private real estate outstanding. Most of the money would’ve gone to some kind of index ETF or some public equivalent,” Hook said on episode 409.
That is a striking claim from someone whose career sits inside the deal economy. Here’s why he believes it, and what it means for the retail investor now being marketed semi-liquid private funds at a record pace.
Quick Read
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Investors seeking alternatives should cap private equity allocations at 5-6% of their portfolio as a satellite position until net-of-fee performance data becomes standardized.
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The Fee Drag Thesis
Hook’s research has focused on private credit, where he found returns that do not justify the fee load once you account for leverage and risk. When Cliffwater, a major private credit consultant, pushed back with a critique focused on business development companies, Hook said BDCs are “kind of similar to private credit funds” but with “significant differences.” His team could not determine “whether he fully accounted for the fees that the BDCs charge or whether he was just calculating the returns that were gross of fees.” Hook’s team invited a formal rebuttal in a peer-reviewed journal, and “we never heard from him.”
The math is unforgiving. A typical private equity fund runs a 2% management fee plus 20% carried interest. Compare that to Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:VOO), which carries a net expense ratio of 0.03% per its most recent fact sheet. The public index has not been a slouch either. SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:SPY) is up 24.31% over the past year and 259.46% over the past decade, while the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) has returned 562.98% over ten years.
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Why Retail Keeps Getting Pitched Anyway
Host Benjamin Felix flagged the structural issue: “the amount that has been paid from private funds” keeps going “up, up, up,” creating an environment where “if wealth managers are being compensated to place dollars in these funds, that would be an incentive to do that.”
