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Home»Cryptocurrency»Bitcoin supply tightens after $198M whale withdrawal – Can BTC reach $70K?
Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin supply tightens after $198M whale withdrawal – Can BTC reach $70K?

By CharlotteJuly 27, 20263 Mins Read
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After nearly 3,080 Bitcoin [BTC] left Kraken, attention has shifted back to whale accumulation. The two transfers included 1,265 BTC worth approximately $81.3 million and 1,815 BTC valued at about $116.6 million, bringing the combined value close to $198 million. 

Rather than signaling imminent selling, the movements pointed toward coins leaving an exchange for unknown wallets. Such a  pattern often reflects long-term holding instead of immediate distribution. However, the transfers arrived while Bitcoin traded within a well-defined recovery structure, making the timing especially notable. 

Investors also viewed the withdrawals alongside broader on-chain indicators instead of treating them as isolated events. As a result, the latest whale activity reinforced the argument that large holders continued reducing readily available exchange supply despite recent market volatility.

Scarcity returns to Bitcoin’s favor

Bitcoin’s Stock-to-Flow Ratio strengthened considerably and reached 46.5K as of writing, posting a remarkable 350.01% increase over the previous 24 hours. The sharp rise suggested that Bitcoin’s scarcity profile improved after weakening in earlier sessions. 

Since the metric compares circulating supply against annual issuance, higher readings generally reflected tighter supply conditions. This shift aligned well with the latest exchange withdrawals because both indicators pointed toward fewer coins remaining available for immediate selling. 

However, scarcity alone did not determine future price direction. Market participants still required sustained demand to capitalize on reduced supply. Even so, the improvement suggested that Bitcoin’s long-term supply dynamics remained supportive. 

Investors therefore gained another fundamental signal that complemented the growing accumulation narrative driven by large holders.

Source: CryptoQuant

Miner behavior eased another source of supply

Bitcoin miners also reduced selling pressure during the latest trading session. At press time, the Miners’ Position Index (MPI) dropped to -1.2389 after declining 128.44% over the previous day. 

Negative MPI readings historically indicated that miners sold fewer coins relative to their one-year average. That behavior reduced another potential source of market supply after whale withdrawals already removed substantial holdings from exchanges. 

Instead of increasing distribution into strength, miners appeared to retain a larger share of newly mined Bitcoin. Such positioning usually reflect greater confidence in future valuations rather than urgency to secure profits. Nevertheless, miner activity represented only one part of Bitcoin’s broader supply picture. 

However, reduced miner selling complemented improving scarcity metrics and strengthened the broader case that immediate selling pressure remained relatively contained.

Source: CryptoQuant

Can Bitcoin’s channel support fuel another advance?

Bitcoin traded near $64,368 after retreating toward the lower boundary of its ascending channel at the time of writing. 

BTC’s price respected support around $63,824, keeping the broader recovery structure intact despite the recent pullback. Meanwhile, resistance remained established near $66,835, with another significant barrier positioned around $73,000. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) eased to 50.85, while its moving average stood at 53.66. Those readings showed cooling buying strength rather than aggressive bearish control. The indicator stayed above the oversold region, suggesting sellers had not gained complete dominance. 

If buyers defended the channel support, Bitcoin could revisit $66,835 before attempting another move toward $70,000 and eventually $73,000. However, losing $63,824 would likely expose the next major support around $60,000, shifting short-term sentiment back in favor of sellers.

BTC price actionBTC price action
Source: TradingView

Conclusively, the latest Kraken withdrawals, stronger Stock-to-Flow Ratio, and subdued miner selling all strengthened Bitcoin’s supply outlook. Although price cooled near channel support, the broader structure remained constructive. 

Moreover, current conditions suggest accumulation continues to outweigh distribution. Yet the next decisive move would likely depend on whether buyers maintain control above the $63,824 support level.


Final Summary

  • Bitcoin whales removed nearly $198 million from Kraken, easing immediate exchange selling pressure.
  • BTC still holds ascending channel support while scarcity and miner activity favor stronger supply conditions.

 



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