BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF attracted $906 million in inflows last week, while the Polymarket contract for Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April sits at
The $80,000 price target dropped from 64% to 41.5% over the last 24 hours, likely a reaction to the latest ETF news. That’s a counterintuitive move: large inflows typically read as bullish, but traders may be interpreting ETF flows as a more reliable signal than geopolitical safe-haven behavior during the U.S.-Iran conflict, repricing shorter-term targets downward even as longer-term conviction holds.
Bitcoin is trading near $70,000-$75,000. The $150,000 target sits at
USDC volume traded on Bitcoin price target contracts was $112,555 over the last day. The largest single-candle move was a 4-point drop, showing that large orders can still move prices even at this liquidity level. It takes $44,734 to move the $80,000 market 5 percentage points, which suggests reasonable depth for a prediction market.
At 42¢, a YES share for Bitcoin hitting $80,000 pays $1, a
Watch for further ETF inflow announcements or large institutional purchases. BlackRock and Fidelity’s next moves could shift these odds materially.
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